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Matt Burch's avatar

Great article! Two sells and three buys:

Sells:

1. China’s shipbuilding capacity advantage is overblown. What looks like a capacity advantage now quickly becomes targetable liability in armed conflict, especially when you consider that all industrial manufacturing sites have fixed GPS coordinates and elevation that become legitimate military targets in war.

2. Comparing an unmanned rescue mission in contested sea space to an overland rescue mission in hostile, mountainous terrain is questionable, though the utility in 7th Fleet AOR is certainly legitimate.

Buys:

3. I love the leadership team, their experience, their mindset, and their vision. Great companies almost always have great leadership teams, and Saronic appears to be on track for greatness.

4. Automation is the future, and the Navy is no exception. The biggest challenge the modern Navy faces is recruitment and retention of talented sailors, especially when you consider resourcing and operational tempo. Automation of the force would provide the Navy with the luxury of personnel flexibility it has not had in years.

5. The commercial applications and TAM growth are very intriguing, and I see this trend developing nicely for commercial shipping and logistics. With Saronic positioned to meet production demands, they may be able to capture a significant portion of that pie.

My biggest question mark is the moral and ethical constraints that can be engineered into the weapons systems. As you mentioned, accountability is a difficult conversation that must be addressed in advance. Operationally, I would prefer semi-autonomous weapons systems to allow for human judgment, but I understand that is not always viable when executing distributed maritime operations.

Based on your article, I would absolutely consider joining the cap table during the next round if the growth continues and the numbers make sense.

Dan McRae's avatar

On thing in Saronic’s favor is that this Administration supports new, smaller defense contractors. They are faster and have no bias towards the status quo. A good and needed article. This nit doesn’t’ detract from it but- Although the US Army does have a few vessels crewed by soldiers, ships of the US Navy are crewed by sailors, not soldiers. ⚓️

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